Relative Risk of Breast Cancer
The term ‘relative risk‘, also sometimes called the ‘odds ratio‘, and is a bit confusing to people. It is not the same as the cumulative risk of breast cancer, which, for a 40 year old woman is considered to be about 1 in 233. (that 1 out of 233 40-year-old women will develop breast cancer later in life). Rather, ‘relative risk‘ compares 1 person with a risk factor, against another person who doesn’t have that risk factor. Suppose a woman at age 40 has a certain risk factor that gives a relative risk or RR of 2.5. That means that this woman has 2.5 times greater chance than the other woman, or developing breast cancer during her lifetime. (That is, imagine 2.5 out of 233 woman age 40 WITH this risk factor will later develop breast cancer, compared to only 1 out of 233 woman age 40 without that risk factor).
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Other factors which increase relative risk ratios for breast cancer
If a woman has had a prior diagnosis of a proliferative breast lesion, such as florid hyperplasia (without atypia) or sclerosing adenosis, the relative risk increases to between 1.6 to 2.1. Relative risk of breast cancer also increases mildly if a woman has a prior diagnosis of solitary papilloma. However, there is no increased risk for women with common breast changes such as duct ectasia or plasma cell mastitis, or fibroadenoma without degenerative changes. Similarily, there is no increased risk for with fibrosis, adenosis without sclerosis, or breast cysts.
Breast cancer risk ratio increases with atypical hyperplasia
An ‘atypical’ ductal hyperplasia is generally believed to increase the relative risk ratio for breast cancer development to about 4.5 to 5. An interesting statistic to consider, however, is that the risk associated with atypical ductal hyperplasia actually decreases as a woman ages.
Relative risk of breast cancer is increased with family history
As a general trend, if there is family history of breast cancer a woman’s relative risk for breast cancer increases to about 2.5. However, within the category of ‘family history‘ there are many associated sub-categories of risk.
|Age of relative with breast cancer history||relative risk of breast cancer|
Familial breast cancer risk may be influenced by menopausal status,and bilateral/unilateral breast cancer
A woman with a first degree relative who has had breast cancer is thought to have a risk of breast cancer development of about 2.3. However, that risk may be higher or lower depending upon whether the breast cancer was unilateral or bilateral, and whether the relative was premenopausal or postmenopausal. A first degree relative with postmenopausal/unilateral breast cancer increases a woman’s risk very slightly to 1.2. If the breast cancer was unilateral but occurred premenopausally, the risk increases to about 1.8. But if the breast cancer in a first degree relative was bilateral and postmenopausal, the risk is about 4.0. And, if the first degree relative had bilateral/premenopausal breast cancer, a woman’s risk increases quite a bit, to 8.8. The increased risk of breast cancer involving a second degree relative is very low, at about 1.5. But, if it was either a sister or mother who had breast cancer, the risk increases dramatically, to about 14.0.
Hormone replacement therapy and breast cancer risk
The issue of whether or not breast cancer risk is increased by the use of hormone replacement therapy remains controversial. Results are inconsistant and vary considerably, so no firm conclusions can be reached. However, there is some evidence to suggest that us of hormone supplementation for a longer period of time (over 5 years) can significantly increase risk of breast cancer development. According to some studies, risk of breast cancer increases by up to 40% (a 1.4 relative risk increase) following hormone replacement therapy. In particular, using a ‘combination therapy‘ (containing both the hormones estrogen and progesterone) may significantly increase both the risk of breast cancer, and the severity. It is also suggested that breast cancer risk is highest during the first 2 to 3 years of hormone replacement therapy, but this risk decreases again about 2 years after treatments are stopped.
Breast Cancer Risk may be ‘calculated’
A woman’s breast cancer risk can be calculated using simple formulas, some of which are available online. One of the most widely used breast cancer risk calculators may be found at halls.md/breast/risk.htm.
For further reading, I suggest you visit a couple pages; visit this page on more about relative risks of breast cancer, go to this page to know about lifetime risks for developing breast cancer and other risk factors, and this page for lifetime risk of breast cancer development.
Everything you need to know about Relative Risk of breast cancer is listed above, but here are a few Q&A below anyhow… Enjoy.
- What is the difference between ‘Relative risk’ and ‘Absolute risk’?
Relative risk: is the number that tells you how much something you do, such as maintaining a healthy weight, can change your risk compared to your risk if you’re very overweight. Relative risk can be expressed as a percentage increase. If something you do or take doesn’t change your risk, then the relative risk reduction is 0% (no difference). If something you do or take lowers your risk by 30% compared to someone who doesn’t take the same step, then that action reduces your relative risk by 30%. If something you do triples your risk, then your relative risk increases 300%.
Absolute risk: is the size of your own risk. Absolute risk reduction is the number of percentage points your own risk goes down if you do something protective, such as stop drinking alcohol. The size of your absolute risk reduction depends on what your risk is to begin with.
- What are some unknown risk factors? It isn’t known whether or not the following factors are linked with breast cancer. Further study is needed to see if the following are risk factors for breast cancer: Diethylstibestrol (DES), diets (including diets that are low in vegetables and fruit of high in fat, soy, red meat or cadmium), thyroid disease, psychological or emotional stress, and history of melanoma.
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- Halls, SB. Detailed Breast Cancer Risk Calculator – Halls MD www.halls.md/breast/risk.htm